МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ ВЛИЯНИЯ ИНСТИТУТОВ НА МАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ПОКАЗАТЕЛИ: ОБЗОР МЕТОДОЛОГИЧЕСКИХ ПОДХОДОВ
Аннотация
В работе представлен обзор методологических подходов к моделированию влияния институтов на макроэкономические показатели. Растущий объем эмпирических работ по моделированию влияния институтов на долгосрочный экономический рост показал, что институты следует рассматривать в контексте альтернативных подходов (культура и социальный капитал, человеческий капитал), альтернативных эконометрических методов и альтернативных стратегий идентификаций влияния институтов на макроэкономические показатели (долгосрочный экономический рост).
Литература
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Journal of Political Economy. — 2019. — Vol. 127. — № 1. — Р. 47—100.
2. Acemoglu, D. Economic origins of dictatorship and democracy / D. Acemoglu, J. A. Robinson. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2006. — 416 p.
3. Acemoglu, D. Income and democracy / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson, P. Yared // American
Economic Review. — 2008. — Vol. 98. — № 3. — P. 808—842.
4. Acemoglu, D. Politics and economics in weak and strong states / D. Acemoglu // Journal of monetary
Economics. — 2005. — Vol. 52. — № 7. — P. 1199—1226.
5. Acemoglu, D. Reevaluating the modernization hypothesis / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson,
P. Yared // Journal of Monetary Economics. — 2009. — Vol. 56. — № 8. — P. 1043—1058.
6. Acemoglu, D. Reversal of fortune: geography and institutions in the making of the modern world
income distribution / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson // The Quarterly Journal of Economics. —
2002. — Vol. 117. — № 4. — P. 1231—1294.
7. Acemoglu, D. The colonial origins of comparative development: an empirical investigation / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson // American Economic Review. — 2001. — Vol. 91. — № 5. — P. 1369—1401.
8. Acemoglu, D. The rise of Europe: Atlantic trade, institutional change, and economic growth / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. Robinson // American Economic Review. — 2005. — Vol. 95. — № 3. — P. 546—579.
9. Acemoglu, D. Why nations fail: the origins of power, prosperity and poverty / D. Acemoglu, J. A. Robinson. — New York : Crown Publishers, 2012. — 529 p.
10. Ahlerup, P. Social capital vs institutions in the growth process / P. Ahlerup, O. Olsson, D. Yanagizawa // European Journal of Political Economy. — 2009. — Vol. 25. — № 1. — P. 1—14.
11. Alesina A. The evolution of ideology, fairness and redistribution / A. Alesina, G. Cozzi, N. Mantovan //
Economic Journal. — 2012. — Vol. 122. — № 565. — P. 1244—1261.
12. Alberto, A. Goodbye Lenin []or not?): the effect of communism on people / Alberto A., N. Fuchs-Schündeln // American Economic Review. — 2007. — Vol. 97. — № 4. — P. 507—528.
13. Alexiou, C. Economic growth and quality of institutions in 27 postsocialist economies / C. Alexiou,
S. Vogiazas, N. Solovev // Journal of Economic Studies. — 2020. — Vol. 47. — № 4. — P. 769—787.
14. Aljarallah, R. A. Dilemma of natural resource abundance: A case study of Kuwait / R. A. Aljarallah,
A. Angus // SAGE Open. — 2020. — Vol. 10. — № 1. — P. 1—24.
15. Barro, R. J. Convergence / R. J. Barro, X. Sala-i-Martin // Journal of Political Economy. — 1992. —
Vol. 100. — № 2. — P. 223—251.
16. Barro, R. J. Democracy and growth / R. J. Barro // Journal of Economic Growth. — 1996. — Vol. 1. —
№ 1. — P. 1—27.
17. Barro, R. J. Determinants of democracy / R. J. Barro // Journal of Political economy. — 1999. —
Vol. 107. — № S6. — P. S158—S183.
18. Barro, R. J. Determinants of economic growth: a cross-country empirical study. Lionel Robbins
lectures / R. J. Barro. — Cambridge, Massachusetts : MIT Press, 1997. — 145 p.
19. Barro, R. J. Economic growth in a cross section of countries / R. J. Barro // The Quarterly Journal of
Economics. — 1991. — Vol. 106. — № 2. — P. 407—443.
20. Baser, F. Paths of economic development: a global evidence for the mediating role of human capital /
F. Baser, S. Gokten // The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development. — 2019. — Vol. 28. —
№ 8. — P. 996—1018.
21. Bulte, E. Resource intensity, institutions, and development / E. Bulte, R. Damania, R. Deacon // World
Development. — 2005. — Vol. 33. — № 7. — P. 1029—1044.
22. Colagrossi, M. Does democracy cause growth? A meta-analysis (of 2000 regressions) / M. Colagrossi,
D. Rossignoli, M. A. Maggioni // European Journal of Political Economy. — 2020. — Vol. 61. — P. 101824.
23. Dahl, R. Polyarchy: participation and opposition / R. Dahl. — New Haven : Yale University Press,
1971. — 257 p.
24. Dearmon, J. Trust and the accumulation of physical and human capital / J. Dearmon, R. Grier //
European Journal of Political Economy. — 2011. — Vol. 27. — P. 507—519.
25. Diamond, J. M. Guns, germs, and steel: the fates of human societies / J. M. Diamond. — New York :
W.W. Norton and Co., 1997. — 480 p.
26. Dias, J. Institutions, human capital, and growth: the institutional mechanism / J. Dias, E. Tebaldi //
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics. — 2012. — Vol. 23. — № 3. — P. 300—312.
27. Fredström, A. A country-level institutional perspective on entrepreneurship productivity: the
effects of informal economy and regulation / A. Fredström, J. Peltonen, J. Wincent // Journal of Business
Venturing. — 2020. — P. 106002.
28. Gervasoni, C. A rentier theory of subnational regimes: fiscal federalism, democracy, and
authoritarianism in the Argentine provinces / C. Gervasoni // World Politics. — 2010. — Vol. 62. — № 2. —
P. 302—340.
29. Glaeser, E. L. Do institutions cause growth? / E. L. Glaeser, R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes,
A. Shleifer // Journal of economic Growth. — 2004. — Vol. 9. — № 3. — P. 271—303.
30. Gneezy, U. Ode to the sea: workplace organizations and norms of cooperation / U. Gneezy,
A. Leibbrandt, J. A. List // The Economic Journal. — 2016. — Vol. 126. — № 595. — P. 1856—1883.
31. Greif, A. Reputation and coalitions in medieval trade: evidence on the Maghribi traders / A. Greif //
The Journal of Economic History. — 1989. — Vol. 49. — № 4. — P. 857—882.
32. Grossman, G. M. Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth / G. M. Grossman, E. Helpman // European
Economic Review. — 1991. — Vol. 35. — № 2—3. — P. 517—526.
33. Harrison L. E. Culture matters: how values shape human progress / L. E. Harrison, S. P. Huntington. —
New York : Basic Books, 2000. — 348 p.
34. Harrison, L. E. Jews, confucians, and protestants: cultural capital and the end of multiculturalism /
L. E. Harrison. — Lanham, Maryland : Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, 2012. — 221 p.
35. Horváth, R. Does trust promote growth? / R. Horváth // Journal of Comparative Economics. — 2013. —
Vol. 41. — № 3. — P. 777—788.
36. Huntington, S. P. The clash of civilizations and the remaking of world order. / S. P. Huntington. —
New York : Simon and Schuster, 1996. — 367 p.
37. Michalopoulos, S. National institutions and subnational development in Africa / S. Michalopoulos,
E. Papaioannou // Quarterly Journal of Economics. — 2014. — Vol. 129. — № 1. — P. 151—213.
38. Michalopoulos, S. Precolonial ethnic institutions and contemporary African development /
S. Michalopoulos, E. Papaioannou // Econometrica. — 2013. — Vol. 81. — № 1. — P. 113—152.
39. North, D. C. Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance. The Political economy
of institutions and decisions / D. C. North. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 1990. —
152 p.
40. North, D. C. Violence and social orders: a conceptual framework for interpreting recorded human
history / D. C. North, J. J. Wallis, B. R. Weingast. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press,
2009. — 08 p.
41. Putnam, R. D. Making democracy work: civic traditions in modern Italy / R. D. Putnam, R. Leonardi,
R.Y. Nanetti. — Princeton : Princeton University Press, 1994. — 258 p.
42. Robinson, J. Political foundations of the resource curse / J. Robinson, R. Torvik, T. Verdier // Journal
of Development Economics. — 2005. — Vol. 79. — № 2. — P. 447—468.
43. Romer, P. M. Endogenous technological change / P. M. Romer // Journal of Political Economics. —
1991. — Vol. 98. — P. 71—102.
44. Sachs, J. The end of poverty: economic possibilities for our time / J. Sachs. — New York : Penguin
Press, 2005. — 396 p.
45. Sachs, J. The price of civilization: reawakening American virtue and prosperity / J. Sachs. — New
York : Random House, 2011. — 324 p.
46. Sala-i-Martin, X. Addressing the natural resource curse: an illustration from Nigeria / X. Sala-iMartin, A. Subramanian // Journal of African Economies. — 2013. — Vol. 22. — № 4. — P. 570—615.
47. Spruk, R. The rise and fall of Argentina / R. Spruk // Latin American Economic Review. — 2019. —
Vol. 28. — № 1. — P. 1—40.
48. Tabellini, G. Culture and institutions: economic development in the regions of Europe / G. Tabellini //
Journal of the European Economic Association. 2010. — Vol. 8. — № 4. — P. 677—716.
49. Tabellini, G. Institutions and culture / G. Tabellini // Journal of the European Economic Association. — 2008. — Vol. 6. — № 2—3. — P. 255—294.
50. Tebaldi, E. Institutions, innovation, and economic growth / E. Tebaldi, B. Elmslie // Journal of economic development. — 2008. — Vol. 33. — P. 27—53.
51. Teixeira, A. A. C. Economic growth, human capital and structural change: A dynamic panel data
analysis / A. A. C. Teixeira, A. S. S. Queirós // Research Policy. — 2016. — Vol. 45. — № 8. — P. 1636—1648.
52. Weber, M. The Protestant ethic and the spirit of capitalism / M. Weber. — Los Angeles, Calif : Roxbury
Pub. Co., 2002. — 266 p.
53. Zergawu, Y. Z. The joint impact of infrastructure and institutions on economic growth / Y. Z. Zergawu, Y. M. Walle, J. M. Giménez-Gómez // Journal of Institutional Economics. — 2020. — Vol. 16. — № 4. —
P. 481—502.
Journal of Political Economy. — 2019. — Vol. 127. — № 1. — Р. 47—100.
2. Acemoglu, D. Economic origins of dictatorship and democracy / D. Acemoglu, J. A. Robinson. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2006. — 416 p.
3. Acemoglu, D. Income and democracy / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson, P. Yared // American
Economic Review. — 2008. — Vol. 98. — № 3. — P. 808—842.
4. Acemoglu, D. Politics and economics in weak and strong states / D. Acemoglu // Journal of monetary
Economics. — 2005. — Vol. 52. — № 7. — P. 1199—1226.
5. Acemoglu, D. Reevaluating the modernization hypothesis / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson,
P. Yared // Journal of Monetary Economics. — 2009. — Vol. 56. — № 8. — P. 1043—1058.
6. Acemoglu, D. Reversal of fortune: geography and institutions in the making of the modern world
income distribution / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson // The Quarterly Journal of Economics. —
2002. — Vol. 117. — № 4. — P. 1231—1294.
7. Acemoglu, D. The colonial origins of comparative development: an empirical investigation / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. A. Robinson // American Economic Review. — 2001. — Vol. 91. — № 5. — P. 1369—1401.
8. Acemoglu, D. The rise of Europe: Atlantic trade, institutional change, and economic growth / D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. Robinson // American Economic Review. — 2005. — Vol. 95. — № 3. — P. 546—579.
9. Acemoglu, D. Why nations fail: the origins of power, prosperity and poverty / D. Acemoglu, J. A. Robinson. — New York : Crown Publishers, 2012. — 529 p.
10. Ahlerup, P. Social capital vs institutions in the growth process / P. Ahlerup, O. Olsson, D. Yanagizawa // European Journal of Political Economy. — 2009. — Vol. 25. — № 1. — P. 1—14.
11. Alesina A. The evolution of ideology, fairness and redistribution / A. Alesina, G. Cozzi, N. Mantovan //
Economic Journal. — 2012. — Vol. 122. — № 565. — P. 1244—1261.
12. Alberto, A. Goodbye Lenin []or not?): the effect of communism on people / Alberto A., N. Fuchs-Schündeln // American Economic Review. — 2007. — Vol. 97. — № 4. — P. 507—528.
13. Alexiou, C. Economic growth and quality of institutions in 27 postsocialist economies / C. Alexiou,
S. Vogiazas, N. Solovev // Journal of Economic Studies. — 2020. — Vol. 47. — № 4. — P. 769—787.
14. Aljarallah, R. A. Dilemma of natural resource abundance: A case study of Kuwait / R. A. Aljarallah,
A. Angus // SAGE Open. — 2020. — Vol. 10. — № 1. — P. 1—24.
15. Barro, R. J. Convergence / R. J. Barro, X. Sala-i-Martin // Journal of Political Economy. — 1992. —
Vol. 100. — № 2. — P. 223—251.
16. Barro, R. J. Democracy and growth / R. J. Barro // Journal of Economic Growth. — 1996. — Vol. 1. —
№ 1. — P. 1—27.
17. Barro, R. J. Determinants of democracy / R. J. Barro // Journal of Political economy. — 1999. —
Vol. 107. — № S6. — P. S158—S183.
18. Barro, R. J. Determinants of economic growth: a cross-country empirical study. Lionel Robbins
lectures / R. J. Barro. — Cambridge, Massachusetts : MIT Press, 1997. — 145 p.
19. Barro, R. J. Economic growth in a cross section of countries / R. J. Barro // The Quarterly Journal of
Economics. — 1991. — Vol. 106. — № 2. — P. 407—443.
20. Baser, F. Paths of economic development: a global evidence for the mediating role of human capital /
F. Baser, S. Gokten // The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development. — 2019. — Vol. 28. —
№ 8. — P. 996—1018.
21. Bulte, E. Resource intensity, institutions, and development / E. Bulte, R. Damania, R. Deacon // World
Development. — 2005. — Vol. 33. — № 7. — P. 1029—1044.
22. Colagrossi, M. Does democracy cause growth? A meta-analysis (of 2000 regressions) / M. Colagrossi,
D. Rossignoli, M. A. Maggioni // European Journal of Political Economy. — 2020. — Vol. 61. — P. 101824.
23. Dahl, R. Polyarchy: participation and opposition / R. Dahl. — New Haven : Yale University Press,
1971. — 257 p.
24. Dearmon, J. Trust and the accumulation of physical and human capital / J. Dearmon, R. Grier //
European Journal of Political Economy. — 2011. — Vol. 27. — P. 507—519.
25. Diamond, J. M. Guns, germs, and steel: the fates of human societies / J. M. Diamond. — New York :
W.W. Norton and Co., 1997. — 480 p.
26. Dias, J. Institutions, human capital, and growth: the institutional mechanism / J. Dias, E. Tebaldi //
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics. — 2012. — Vol. 23. — № 3. — P. 300—312.
27. Fredström, A. A country-level institutional perspective on entrepreneurship productivity: the
effects of informal economy and regulation / A. Fredström, J. Peltonen, J. Wincent // Journal of Business
Venturing. — 2020. — P. 106002.
28. Gervasoni, C. A rentier theory of subnational regimes: fiscal federalism, democracy, and
authoritarianism in the Argentine provinces / C. Gervasoni // World Politics. — 2010. — Vol. 62. — № 2. —
P. 302—340.
29. Glaeser, E. L. Do institutions cause growth? / E. L. Glaeser, R. La Porta, F. Lopez-de-Silanes,
A. Shleifer // Journal of economic Growth. — 2004. — Vol. 9. — № 3. — P. 271—303.
30. Gneezy, U. Ode to the sea: workplace organizations and norms of cooperation / U. Gneezy,
A. Leibbrandt, J. A. List // The Economic Journal. — 2016. — Vol. 126. — № 595. — P. 1856—1883.
31. Greif, A. Reputation and coalitions in medieval trade: evidence on the Maghribi traders / A. Greif //
The Journal of Economic History. — 1989. — Vol. 49. — № 4. — P. 857—882.
32. Grossman, G. M. Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth / G. M. Grossman, E. Helpman // European
Economic Review. — 1991. — Vol. 35. — № 2—3. — P. 517—526.
33. Harrison L. E. Culture matters: how values shape human progress / L. E. Harrison, S. P. Huntington. —
New York : Basic Books, 2000. — 348 p.
34. Harrison, L. E. Jews, confucians, and protestants: cultural capital and the end of multiculturalism /
L. E. Harrison. — Lanham, Maryland : Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, 2012. — 221 p.
35. Horváth, R. Does trust promote growth? / R. Horváth // Journal of Comparative Economics. — 2013. —
Vol. 41. — № 3. — P. 777—788.
36. Huntington, S. P. The clash of civilizations and the remaking of world order. / S. P. Huntington. —
New York : Simon and Schuster, 1996. — 367 p.
37. Michalopoulos, S. National institutions and subnational development in Africa / S. Michalopoulos,
E. Papaioannou // Quarterly Journal of Economics. — 2014. — Vol. 129. — № 1. — P. 151—213.
38. Michalopoulos, S. Precolonial ethnic institutions and contemporary African development /
S. Michalopoulos, E. Papaioannou // Econometrica. — 2013. — Vol. 81. — № 1. — P. 113—152.
39. North, D. C. Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance. The Political economy
of institutions and decisions / D. C. North. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 1990. —
152 p.
40. North, D. C. Violence and social orders: a conceptual framework for interpreting recorded human
history / D. C. North, J. J. Wallis, B. R. Weingast. — Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press,
2009. — 08 p.
41. Putnam, R. D. Making democracy work: civic traditions in modern Italy / R. D. Putnam, R. Leonardi,
R.Y. Nanetti. — Princeton : Princeton University Press, 1994. — 258 p.
42. Robinson, J. Political foundations of the resource curse / J. Robinson, R. Torvik, T. Verdier // Journal
of Development Economics. — 2005. — Vol. 79. — № 2. — P. 447—468.
43. Romer, P. M. Endogenous technological change / P. M. Romer // Journal of Political Economics. —
1991. — Vol. 98. — P. 71—102.
44. Sachs, J. The end of poverty: economic possibilities for our time / J. Sachs. — New York : Penguin
Press, 2005. — 396 p.
45. Sachs, J. The price of civilization: reawakening American virtue and prosperity / J. Sachs. — New
York : Random House, 2011. — 324 p.
46. Sala-i-Martin, X. Addressing the natural resource curse: an illustration from Nigeria / X. Sala-iMartin, A. Subramanian // Journal of African Economies. — 2013. — Vol. 22. — № 4. — P. 570—615.
47. Spruk, R. The rise and fall of Argentina / R. Spruk // Latin American Economic Review. — 2019. —
Vol. 28. — № 1. — P. 1—40.
48. Tabellini, G. Culture and institutions: economic development in the regions of Europe / G. Tabellini //
Journal of the European Economic Association. 2010. — Vol. 8. — № 4. — P. 677—716.
49. Tabellini, G. Institutions and culture / G. Tabellini // Journal of the European Economic Association. — 2008. — Vol. 6. — № 2—3. — P. 255—294.
50. Tebaldi, E. Institutions, innovation, and economic growth / E. Tebaldi, B. Elmslie // Journal of economic development. — 2008. — Vol. 33. — P. 27—53.
51. Teixeira, A. A. C. Economic growth, human capital and structural change: A dynamic panel data
analysis / A. A. C. Teixeira, A. S. S. Queirós // Research Policy. — 2016. — Vol. 45. — № 8. — P. 1636—1648.
52. Weber, M. The Protestant ethic and the spirit of capitalism / M. Weber. — Los Angeles, Calif : Roxbury
Pub. Co., 2002. — 266 p.
53. Zergawu, Y. Z. The joint impact of infrastructure and institutions on economic growth / Y. Z. Zergawu, Y. M. Walle, J. M. Giménez-Gómez // Journal of Institutional Economics. — 2020. — Vol. 16. — № 4. —
P. 481—502.
Опубликована
2023-11-28
Как цитировать
ЗАХАРОВА, Евгения Александровна et al.
МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ ВЛИЯНИЯ ИНСТИТУТОВ НА МАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ПОКАЗАТЕЛИ: ОБЗОР МЕТОДОЛОГИЧЕСКИХ ПОДХОДОВ.
Общество, экономика, управление, [S.l.], v. 5, n. 3, p. 12-21, nov. 2023.
ISSN 2618-9852. Доступно на: <https://journals.csu.ru/index.php/management/article/view/2219>. Дата доступа: 18 oct. 2024
Выпуск
Раздел
Государственное и муниципальное управление
Ключевые слова
демократия
институты
культура
человеческий капитал
экономический рост
